canada goose Brookings Institution Political Expert Stephen Hess Discusses Election 2000 Polls canada goose

canada goose coats on sale BILL HEMMER, CNN ANCHOR: Five days until the presidential election and the front runners, Al Gore and George W. Bush, have precious little time left on the trail. Polls in canada goose store many parts of the Canada Goose Outlet country still indicate it is too close to call canada goose clearance in areas, so today another Cheap Canada Goose Sale round of Canada Goose Coats On Sale rallies in Canada Goose sale key battleground states. canada goose coats on sale

Canada Goose sale Stephen Hess is a political expert with the Brookings Institute. He joins us from Washington to talk more about the buy canada goose jacket cheap race. Canada Goose sale

Canada Goose online STEPHEN HESS, BROOKINGS INSTITUTION: Good morning. Canada Goose online

buy canada goose jacket HEMMER: I mentioned the dirty word, Canada Goose online in your opinion, that dirty word being «polls.» buy canada goose jacket

Canada Goose Jackets Tell us canada goose coats what cheap Canada Goose the problem is from your estimation, what we talked about. Canada Goose Jackets

canada goose black friday sale HESS: Well, canada goose uk shop you say it’s close, but now we knew it was close in 1960 or 1968 or 1976, that we had that Canada Goose Online is, we canada goose had an election, and if was canada goose factory sale over it was close. We don’t know that it’s close, we canada goose uk black friday only know that the polls tell us it’s close right now. Remember, the polls were wrong in New Hampshire, the polls were wrong in South Carolina, and the polls were canada goose coats on sale wrong in Michigan. canada goose black friday sale

canada goose store The dirty little secret is that, up to now, the polls have been pretty crude. But for the next five days, the pollsters are going to try to tighten that up. They’re going to poll more and more people than they canadian goose jacket have in the past, they’re going to work harder to determine who are the likely voters. canada goose store

canada goose deals What is important to pollsters is if they’re right in the last poll, because the polls depend on Canada Goose Jackets commercial sponsors and they’ve got to, next Wednesday, be able to say to their widget manufacturer, yes, we can tell you who buys widgets because we told you who one this election. canada goose deals

cheap Canada Goose HEMMER: And we need more widgets. Our own polling, just to make your point, is now taking a sample of greater than 2,000 people. cheap Canada Goose

canada goose clearance sale HEMMER: So, indeed, that sample has gone up. What I believe will be a story after https://www.gofind.ca this election, though, is the issue of polling. If they’re accurate, it’s enhanced. If they’re not accurate, they’ll be backlashed. Do you see it the same way? canada goose clearance sale

Canada Goose Parka HESS: Well, what’s happened the real difference in the last elections are these tracking polls, and they merely reflect the volatility of the moment: what you’ve uk canada goose outlet got on the morning news, what you’ve got in the morning headlines, and so forth and so on. So the story becomes the volatility instead of, uk canada goose of course, what buy canada goose jacket these candidates are saying, what they might do. HEMMER: Stephen, let me flip that just a bit. You wrote a piece for the «USA Today.» Let me read a portion for you. I’m sure you know the words; just for our viewers. Canada Goose Parka

buy canada goose jacket cheap HEMMER: canada goose clearance sale «Nearly two thirds of the campaign stories on the network evening news are poll driven.» But given the fact that it appears to be a rather close race, again, as you mentioned, the closest canada goose uk outlet since 1960, canada goose black friday sale the battleground issue, this horse race, as we like to call it, indeed becomes an issue, does it not? buy canada goose jacket cheap

canada goose coats HESS: I’m not saying that it’s not accurate, I’m simply saying that what has a toll the average viewer? Do they really care that it’s close? Aren’t they sort of interested in what a George Bush or an Al Gore might do for them if they Canada Goose Parka govern? And that’s been pushed aside by the poll driven reports. As you remember, poll driven stories are awfully easy to cheap canada goose uk write canada goose coats.